Why the Solar Billing Plan stretches California paybacks
PG&E, SCE and SDG&E homes that applied to connect from April 15, 2023 are on the Solar Billing Plan, often called NEM 3.0. Each kWh your panels make is then worth one of two very different amounts. Our cases assume 40% is used at home as it is made and 60% is sent out.
Power you use as it is made about 32.99¢
- Midday solar runs your home directly.
- Each kWh used this way is one you do not buy.
- It is worth your own price; the state average is 32.99¢.
Power you send to the grid about 6¢ at PG&E
- Extra midday power flows out to the grid.
- PG&E credits it at an hourly price: about 5.21¢ over 2026 solar hours, plus a 0.88¢ bonus.
- In the evening you buy power back at your plan’s price.
Typical 6.70 kW system, $19,095 cash
| Case and export credit | Year-one savings | After upkeep | Simple payback |
| PG&E-based: power sent out earns about 6¢ (Solar Billing Plan, 2026) | $1,919 | $1,718 | 11.1 years |
| Comparison: every kWh worth 32.99¢, as if exports earned full price | $3,769 | $3,568 | 5.4 years |
Swipe the table sideways to see every column.
No new PG&E, SCE or SDG&E home gets the second row. It shows what the export rule costs. The more of your own solar you use, the closer you get to it, so ask any battery quote to show its added savings on its own line.
How we calculated this
- Output: 6.70 kW × 1,705 kWh per kW = 11,424 kWh a year.
- PG&E-based case: 4,570 kWh used at home × 32.99¢, plus 6,854 kWh sent out × 6¢. That is $1,919. The 6¢ is PG&E’s 2026 hourly credits weighted to solar hours, 5.21¢, plus the 0.88¢ bonus for 2026 applications: about 6.09¢. It is not an average of the three utilities.
- Comparison: 11,424 kWh × 32.99¢ = $3,769.
- Upkeep: $30 per kW a year, $201, including an inverter reserve.
- Payback: $19,095 ÷ (savings − upkeep). No financing, rate changes or panel aging.
- 32.99¢ is the EIA state average for the 12 months to July 2026. It includes fixed charges, so it can run high. SCE’s export prices change by season and hour, and we did not model SCE, SDG&E, LADWP or SMUD on their own.
Run your own California numbers